Last night I attended a talk given by Peter Prebble on climate change, oil sands and Saskatchewan. It was a delightful talk and Peter’s discussion of climate change, oil sands and Saskatchewan was well researched, thoughtful, balanced and well delivered. Peter made an interesting moral argument. He argued that Saskatchewan has the highest per capita (tied with Qatar) greenhouse gas emissions at 72 tonnes per year in the World. This is well above Canada’s average of around 20 and well above the world average of 5. As a result, he argued that Saskatchewan should invest around 2% of its GDP (around a billion dollars) to help reduce these greenhouse gases. He reasoned that we could not ask countries with a much larger greenhouse gas footprint but whose per capita emissions are lower, to reduce emissions if we did nothing to reduce our per capita emissions. I asked him, if instead of focussing on reduction we should focus on mitigation. He responded that he thought that mitigation should also be addressed but at a lower rate than reduction.
I disagree with Peter. The future is bleak for Saskatchewan. We will be facing severe water shortages in our lifetimes. These water shortages will endanger our ability to grow crops, mine potash and uranium and extract oil. As a result, our economic activity will become restricted as we move towards the middle of this century. When I think about Saskatchewan and our moral obligation to the world. I think about our ability to provide food, fuel and fertilizers to the world. For example, potash is key to allowing China to be self sufficient in foodstuffs for example. Our food exports prevent famine in many parts of the world. It seems to me that our first obligation should be to insure that we can continue contributing to the worlds food, fuel and fertilizer needs in 2050. In order to do that, we need to invest heavily in mitigation technologies. We need to invest in technologies that reduce water use for all of our processes. Think of it this way, yes our emission rate is high at 72 but there are only 1 million of us, so we only produce 72 million tonnes. In contrast, emission rates of another country might be 5 tonnes per year but there are 500 million people in that country, so they produce 2.5 billion tonnes. Would that second country really care that we reduced our emissions to 36 million tonnes but were unable to provide them with fertilizer or food and thus provoked a famine in their country. I feel it would be much better to have the second country reduce their emission rate to 4.98 t (only a 1.4% reduction) and have Saskatchewan guarantee that we can continue to provide them with fuel, food and fertilizer. Mother Nature wouldn’t care because global emissions would have been reduced by the same amount.
As a province, we need to begin having this discussion. Can we afford to both mitigate and reduce or can we only do one? If we only select one. What would be best for the world and for us. Climate change is upon us. We need to come to a consensus and make our choices.
